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Economics, Issues, and the Perot Candidacy: Voter Choice in the 1992 Presidential Election

Version
v0
Resource Type
Dataset : survey data
Creator
  • Alvarez, Michael R.
  • Nagler, Jonathan
Other Title
  • Archival Version (Subtitle)
Publication Date
1996-01-04
Language
English
Free Keywords
Clinton, Bill; national economy; Perot, Ross; presidential elections; voter preferences
Description
  • Abstract

    This research was a multinomial probit analysis of 1992 National Election Studies data including individual-specific and alternative-specific variables. It consisted of simulations based on counterfactual scenarios of ideological positions of the candidates and of voter perceptions of the economy. Results of the study show that the economy was the dominant factor in accounting for voter decisions in 1992, and that Clinton, not Perot, was the beneficiary of economic discontent. Issues played an important role in this election, but Clinton was not perceived as a "New Democrat". The authors found little support for the hypothesis of angry voting. Also, they discovered that Perot took more votes from Bush than from Clinton.
  • Table of Contents

    Datasets:

    • DS1: Dataset
Temporal Coverage
  • Time period: 1992
Geographic Coverage
  • United States
Note
1999-10-07 In preparing the dataset for replication, an error was found in the construction of the original data used in the article. Corrected data were submitted. The new files are alvar95.tar and alvar95.zip, the old files are alvar95.oldtar and alvar95.old.zip.
Availability
Delivery
This version of the study is no longer available on the web. If you need to acquire this version of the data, you have to contact ICPSR User Support (help@icpsr.umich.edu).
Alternative Identifiers
  • 1112 (Type: ICPSR Study Number)
Relations
  • Is previous version of
    DOI: 10.3886/ICPSR01112.v1
Publications
  • Alvarez, R. Michael, Nagler, Jonathan. Economics, Issues and the Perot Candidacy: Voter Choice in the 1992 Presidential Election. American Journal of Political Science.39, (3), 714-744.1995.
    • ID: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2111651 (URL)

Update Metadata: 2015-08-05 | Issue Number: 6 | Registration Date: 2015-06-15

Alvarez, Michael R.; Nagler, Jonathan (1996): Economics, Issues, and the Perot Candidacy: Voter Choice in the 1992 Presidential Election. Archival Version. Version: v0. ICPSR - Interuniversity Consortium for Political and Social Research. Dataset. https://doi.org/10.3886/ICPSR01112