Statistical Model for Multiparty Electoral Data

Resource Type
Dataset : survey data
  • Katz, Jonathan (University of Chicago)
  • King, Gary (Harvard University)
Other Title
  • Version 1 (Subtitle)
Publication Date
Free Keywords
campaign expenditures; economic conditions; election districts; election returns; elections; ethnicity; prediction; statistical models
  • Abstract

    In this collection, a comprehensive statistical model for analyzing multiparty, district-level elections is proposed. This model, which provides a tool for comparative politics research analogous to what regression provides in the American two-party context, can be used to explain or predict how geographic distributions of electoral results depend upon economic conditions, neighborhood ethnic compositions, campaign spending, and other features of the election campaign or aggregate areas. Also provided are new graphical representations for data exploration, model evaluation, and substantive interpretation. The authors illustrate the use of this model by attempting to resolve a controversy over the size of and trend in the electoral advantage of incumbency in Britain. Contrary to previous analyses, all based on measures now known to be biased, the research demonstrates that the advantage is small but meaningful, varies substantially across parties, and is not growing. Finally, the authors show how to estimate from which party each other party's advantage is predominantly drawn.
  • Table of Contents


    • DS1: Dataset
Geographic Coverage
  • United States
Collection Mode
  • (1) The file submitted is The zip file is binary and contains a README file and program and data files. (2) These data are part of ICPSR's Publication-Related Archive and are distributed exactly as they arrived from the data depositor. ICPSR has not checked or processed this material. Users should consult the investigator(s) if further information is desired.

This study is freely available to the general public via web download.
Alternative Identifiers
  • 1190 (Type: ICPSR Study Number)
  • Katz, Jonathan N., King, Gary. A statistical model for multiparty electoral data. American Political Science Review.93, (1), 15-32.1999.
    • ID: (URL)

Update Metadata: 2015-08-05 | Issue Number: 6 | Registration Date: 2015-06-15