Technical Analysis and the Profitability of United States Foreign Exchange Intervention

Resource Type
Dataset : survey data
  • Neely, Christopher J. (Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis)
Other Title
  • Version 1 (Subtitle)
Publication Date
Free Keywords
foreign exchange
  • Abstract

    These data reconcile an apparent contradiction found by recent research on United States intervention in foreign exchange markets. LeBaron (1996) and Szakmary and Mathur (1997) show that extrapolative technical trading rules trade against United States foreign exchange intervention and produce excess returns during intervention periods. Leahy (1995) shows that United States intervention itself is profitable over long periods of time. In other words, technical traders make excess returns when they take positions contrary to United States intervention. United States intervention itself is profitable, however.
  • Table of Contents


    • DS1: Dataset
Collection Mode
  • (1) The file submitted is 9807cn.exe, which unzips to 9807CN.ZIP, which contains readme.txt, allcbi.xls, leahy.xls, and bigexch.xls. The explanation for each Excel file is in readme.txt. (2) These data are part of ICPSR's Publication-Related Archive and are distributed exactly as they arrived from the data depositor. ICPSR has not checked or processed this material. Users should consult the investigator(s) if further information is desired.

This study is freely available to the general public via web download.
Alternative Identifiers
  • 1193 (Type: ICPSR Study Number)
  • Neely, Christopher J.. Technical analysis and the profitability of U.S. foreign exchange intervention. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review.80, (4), 3-17.1998.

Update Metadata: 2015-08-05 | Issue Number: 6 | Registration Date: 2015-06-15