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ARD-DeutschlandTrend 2009

Version
1.0.0
Resource Type
Dataset : Survey and aggregate data
Creator
  • ARD-Landesrundfunkanstalten
  • Infratest dimap Gesellschaft für Trend- und Wahlforschung, Berlin
Publication Date
2011-02-16
Contributor
  • Infratest dimap, Berlin (Data Collector)
Language
German
Classification
  • ZA:
    • Political Issues
    • Political Attitudes and Behavior
    • Political Parties, Organizations
  • CESSDA Topic Classification:
    • Social behaviour and attitudes
    • Conflict, security and peace
    • Mass political behaviour, attitudes/opinion
    • Government, political systems and organisation
    • Elections
    • Environmental degradation/pollution and protection
    • Economic policy
    • Economic systems and development
Description
  • Abstract

    Cumulative data set of ARD-Deutschlandtrends of the year 2009. Evaluation of parties and politicians. Attitudes towards current political issues. Topics: Some topics were repeated and asked in an identical way at each survey time, other topics were asked only in one or more survey months. Evaluation of the current economic situation in Germany and expectations about the economic situation in one year as well as the expected personal situation in 10 years; party preference for the Bundestag elections and the European elections (Sunday question); probability for own participation of voting in the Bundestag elections 2009; certainty of own election decision in the Bundestag elections in September; preference for a CDU/CSU-led or for a SPD-led Federal Government; preference for a change of the government or for the continuation of the grand coalition of CDU/CSU and SPD; attitude to a government participation of the FDP; satisfaction with the work of the Federal Government; perceived social and economic justice in Germany; issue competence of the parties with regard to: pension security, job security, foreign policy, coping with the current economic and financial crisis, educational policy, social justice, health policy, budgetary policy, fiscal policy, combating climate change, taking care of employees during the crisis, solving the most important problems in Germany, representing the concerns of the small people, tax policy, environmental policy, economic policy; satisfaction with selected top politicians (Andrea Nahles, Barack Obama, Franz Josef Jung, Franz Müntefering, Frank-Walter Steinmeier, Gregor Gysi, Gesine Schwan, Horst Seehofer, Jürgen Trittin, Horst Köhler, Karl-Theodor zu Guttenberg, Angela Merkel, Michael Glos, Oskar Lafontaine, Olaf Scholz, Philipp Rösler, Reiner Brüderle, Renate Künast, Sigmar Gabriel, Peer Steinbrück, Thomas de Maizière, Ulla Schmidt, Ursula von der Leyen, Guido Westerwelle and Wolfgang Schäuble); attitudes towards selected possible government coalitions after the Bundestag elections (CDU/CSU with FDP, CDU/CSU with FDP and die Grünen, CDU/CSU with SPD, SPD with FDP and die Grünen, and SPD with die Grünen and die Linke); chancellor preference for Angela Merkel or Frank-Walter Steinmeier; expected position of the SPD in the case of a possible majority of SPD, die Grünen and die Linke after the Bundestag elections (government alliance with die Linke or rejection of such an alliance); assessment of selected explanations for a lack of voter approval of the SPD (Frank-Walter Steinmeier is not a good chancellor candidate, use of the company car for holiday trips by Ulla Schmidt, unrealizable goals in Steinmeier’s Germany plan; Agenda 2010 and Hartz IV reform; introduction of the pension with 67); reasons for the own election decision for the FDP (only FDP supporters according to the Sunday question); assessment of the financial crisis (scale: worst part of the crisis is still imminent, communization of major enterprises, decisive action by the Federal Government, worries about own loss of job, personal savings and personal economic future, Federal Government has lost the overview, has a clear line in dealing with the crisis, badly managing companies exploit the state, no personal involvement in the crisis, money should be spent, due to the crisis less money available, confidence in the Federal Government, possible repetition of a global economic and financial crisis, governments of the world’s major industrialized countries will prevent financial speculation, sufficient banking control by the Federal Government, banks have learned nothing from the crisis, the little people have to bear the consequences of the crisis, confidence in the Federal Government in coping with the crisis); assessment of selected economic stimulus measures of the Federal Government with regard to their effectiveness (stimulus package in general, general tax cuts, enacted stimulus package, scrappage bonus, limited tax relief, reduction of health insurance contributions, additional tax money for the construction of roads, railways and schools and universities, child bonus of 100 Euro); attitude towards governmental assistance for the German car manufacturer Opel (Split A); preference for an extension of the NATO mission of the Bundeswehr in Afghanistan or for a rapid withdrawal; evaluation of selected countries as trustworthy partners for Germany (USA, Great Britain, France, Russia, China); eligibility of the SPD, the CDU/CSU, die Grünen, die Linke, and the FDP; intended purpose of the additionally available sums of money, which the Federal Government’s economic stimulus package has allocated to the respondents; party with a clear political concept for the future; desire for participation of this party in the next Federal Government; communization of banks; opinion on the reception of Guantanamo detainees in Germany due to humanitarian reasons, the most competent party with regard to the coping with the current financial and economic crisis; party, which is most likely to be concerned with the weak in society during the crisis, and is careful with taxpayers’ money; preferred type of state aid for the German car manufacturer Opel (Split A) and the German automotive supplier Schaeffel-Continental (Split B): guarantees, direct financial assistance or state participation; attitude towards state aid for: German banks, distressed companies of the automotive industry, economic weak EU countries such as Ireland or countries in Eastern Europe, small and medium-sized companies that are no longer receiving loans; confidence in the selected institutions and politicians with respect to a solution for the international financial and economic crisis (G-20 summit, European Union, Barack Obama, Angela Merkel, Frank-Walter Steinmeier); assessment of the necessity of selected measures of the World Financial Summit in London against the economic crisis (global control of the international financial markets, financial assistance to the affected developing countries, worldwide credit-financed economic stimulus programs to boost the economy and for the environment and climate protection); attitude towards Barack Obama (Scale: USA are on the right path, same policies as his predecessor Bush, personal expectations not fulfilled, joy about Obama’s visit in Germany, desire for politicians as Obama also in Germany, positively surprised); opinion on a third economic stimulus package in order to deal with the consequences of the economic crisis (necessary versus wait and see until the measures already decided take effect); attitude to the plan of the Federal Government to exclude pension cuts by law; profile comparison of CDU chairwoman Angela Merkel, of the SPD vice-chancellor Frank Walter Steinmeier, SPD finance minister Peer Steinbrück, CSU minister of economics Karl-Theodor zu Guttenberg and of FDP chairman Guido Westerwelle regarding: likeability, competence, enjoyment of political work, purposefulness, credibility and leadership; assessment of Angela Merkel as a good Federal Chancellor and Frank-Walter Steinmeier as a good Federal Chancellor, of Peer Steinbrück as a good finance minister, Karl-Theodor zu Guttenberg as a good minister of economics and Guido Westerwelle as a good vice-chancellor; assessment of selected statements on the Bundestag elections (almost decided in favor of a coalition of CDU/CSU and FDP, most people are still undecided, outcome of the European elections says nothing about the outcome of the Bundestag elections, at the European elections, many of those that will vote for the SPD in the Bundestag elections stayed at home); assessment of the honesty of the parties before the elections, assessment of the tax rates in Germany; assessment of the credibility of Chancellor Merkel´s promise to waive tax increases for four years; preferred way on debt reduction in the federal government: tax increases for more revenue or reduction of state benefits to cut expenditure; attitude towards reduced VAT rate: increase (Split A), increase from 7 to 9.5 percent (Split B) or abolition and introduction of a uniform tax rate of 19 percent; appropriateness of the term War for the Bundeswehr mission in Afghanistan; assessment of selected coalition constellations with regard to their future benefits for Germany; Grand Coalition and the individual coalition partners SPD and CDU/CSU in the federal government perform good work for the country; advocacy of Germany´s exit from nuclear energy until 2021; comparison of Angela Merkel and Frank-Walter Steinmeier with regard to their leadership skills, publicity, likeability, credibility and honesty; expectation of an upward trend of the SPD in the federal government after the state elections; preferred behavior of the SPD after the federal elections: examination of a coalition with the Left Party in case of a corresponding majority versus exclusion of such an alliance; reasons for lack of profit for CDU and CSU from the weaknesses of the other parties (neglect of employee interests in the CDU, gap between rich and poor is getting bigger and bigger, uncertainty about intentions of the CDU/CSU after the Bundestag elections, disagreement between CDU and CSU in crucial points, too many compromises in the coalition with the SPD, no clear market economy course). Non-voters: Decision point against own participation in the Bundestag elections; reasons for missing own voter participation (no political interest, politicians pursue only self-interest, disinterest of politicians in the electorate, decision-making difficulties, political effectiveness, no differences between the parties, no party as stakeholder); prior engagement with the parties and their goals in the election campaign. Again to all: expected changes regarding the social justice in the country with a coalition of CDU, CSU and FDP; assessment of the issue competence of a coalition of CDU, CSU and FDP in terms of coping with the consequences of the economic crisis, economic growth, securing jobs, improving educational opportunities and school system, integration of immigrants, reconciliation of work and family life, appropriate wages, social equity and affordable social security systems); assessment of the political compatibility of the individual parties CDU, CSU and FDP in the planned black-yellow federal government; suitability of selected politicians as potential ministers of a black-yellow federal government (Wolfgang Schäuble, Ursula von der Leyen, Peter Ramsauer, Karl-Theodor zu Guttenberg, Roland Koch, Ronald Pofalla, Franz Josef Jung, Guido Westerwelle, Rainer Brüderle, Hermann Otto Solms, Sabine Leutheusser-Schnarrenberg, Dirk Niebel, Norbert Röttgen and Annette Schavan); preferred proposals to the SPD after their defeat at the federal elections (alliance with the Left Party, end of Hartz IV and development of a new social policy, abolition of the pension at 67, maintaining the Agenda 2010, care more about working than non-working people); most important political goals (tax reduction, support for the socially disadvantaged, support of schools and universities, support of parents in raising children, pension stability, affordable health and care); groups that should pay more less taxes in the future (employees with low income, with average income or with high income, pensioners, couples, families with children, companies and self-employed persons); evaluation of the measures agreed upon in the coalition agreement of Union and FDP (reduction of compulsory military service to six months, increase of the child benefit and the child allowance, new income tax rate with a graduated calculation of the tax, more competition between the health insurance companies, longer operating times for safe nuclear power plants, larger protection for Hartz IV recipients, increase in educational expenditure); party that asserted itself the most in the coalition negotiations; preferred future economic policy (reduce taxes and duties to stimulate consumption or savings); aptitude assessment of the new members of the federal government: Wolfgang Schäuble as Minister of Finance, Thomas de Maizière as Minister of the Interior, Karl-Theodor zu Guttenberg as Minister of Defence, Franz Josef Jung as Minister of Labour and Social Affairs, Annette Schavan as Minister of Education, Ursula von der Leyen as Minister of Family Affairs, Ilse Aigner as Minister of Agriculture and Consumer Protection, Peter Ramsauer as Transport Minister, Norbert Röttgen as Environment Minister, Ronald Pofalla as Head of the Federal Chancellery, Guido Westerwelle as Foreign Minister, Rainer Brüderele as Economics Minister, Sabine Leutheusser-Schnarrenberger as Justice Minister, Philipp Rösler as Health Minister and Dirk Niebel as Development Aid Minister; intended personal vaccination against swine flu; interviewee feels as winner or loser of the reunification; predominance of advantages or disadvantages since the reunification; assessment of the development of a fairer society since the reunification; economic improvement or deterioration since the reunification; GDR as a state of injustice; satisfaction with the work of the new Federal Government in general as well as with the work of the individual governing parties CDU, CSU and FDP; expected duration of stationing of the Bundeswehr in Afghanistan; opinion on the honesty of the German government regarding their information about the Bundeswehr mission in Afghanistan after the resignation of Franz Josef Jung as defense minister; importance of climate protection for the Federal Government on the occasion of the Climate Conference in Copenhagen; attitude towards climate protection: willingness to pay higher prices for climate-friendly manufactured products and for electricity from renewable energies, driving should become more expensive to reduce CO2 emissions, climate-friendly actions in everyday life, the individual cannot contribute much to climate protection. Demography: sex, age, occupation, occupational status, education, household income, federal state. Additionally coded was: region, location size, weighting factor.
Temporal Coverage
  • 2009-01 / 2009-12
Geographic Coverage
  • Germany (DE)
Sampled Universe
Persons entitled to vote aged 18 and over
Sampling
Probability
Time Dimension
  • Longitudinal: Trend/Repeated cross-section
Collection Mode
  • Telephone interview: CATI
Data and File Information
  • Unit Type: Individual
    Number of Units: 14502
    Number of Variables: 340
Note
The data set consists of a cumulation of the data collected from January monthly surveys until December 2009. The survey periods in detail: January: 05 January 2009 to 06 January 2009, Sunday question: 05 January 2009 to 07 January 2009; February: 02 February 2009 to 03 February 2009, Sunday question: 02 February 2009 to 04 February 2009, March: 02 March 2009 to 03 March 2009, Sunday question: 02 March 2009 to 04 March 2009; April: 30 March 2009 to 31 March 2009, Sunday question: 30 March 2009 to 01 April 2009; May: 04 May 2009 to 05 May 2009, Sunday question: 04 May 2009 to 06 May 2009; June: 08 June 2009 to 09 June 2009, Sunday question: 08 June 2009 to 10 June 2009; July: 29 June 2009 to 30 June 2009, Sunday question: 29 June 2009 to 01 July 2009; August: 03 August 2009 to 04 August 2009, Additional question profile comparison Merkel/Steinmeier: 04. August 2009 to 05. August 2009, Sunday question: 03 August 2009 to 05 August 2009; September: 31 August 2009 to 02 September 2009; October: 05 October 2009 to 07 October 2009; November: 02 November 2009 to 03 November 2009, Sunday question: 02 November 2009 to 04 November 2009; December: 30 November 2009 to 01 December 2009, Sunday question: 30 November 2009 to 02 December 2009. About 1000 interviews were conducted per month (about 700 West 300 East), for the Sunday question an additional 1500 (about 1100 west and 400 east), except in February (1750), August (1541) and November (1750). Bifurcated questionnaires were used.
Availability
Delivery
C - Data and documents are only released for academic research and teaching after the data depositor’s written authorization. For this purpose the Data Archive obtains a written permission with specification of the user and the analysis intention.
Rights
All metadata from GESIS DBK are available free of restriction under the Creative Commons CC0 1.0 Universal Public Domain Dedication. However, GESIS requests that you actively acknowledge and give attribution to all metadata sources, such as the data providers and any data aggregators, including GESIS. For further information see https://dbk.gesis.org/dbksearch/guidelines.asp
Alternative Identifiers
  • ZA5448 (Type: ZA-No.)
  • WAHLEN (Type: FDZ)
Publications
  • Infratest dimap: ARD-DeutschlandTrend: Eine Umfrage zur politischen Stimmung im Auftrag der ARD-Tagesthemen und sechs Tageszeitungen. Berlin: Januar 2009 bis Dezember 2009
  • Gothe, Heiko: Desaster für Althaus-CDU mündet in schwarz-rotem Bündnis. Die thüringische Landtagswahl 2009. In: Zeitschrift für Parlamentsfragen. Baden-Baden: Nomos Verlagsgesellschaft, 2, 2010, S. 304-322

Update Metadata: 2020-10-22 | Issue Number: 192 | Registration Date: 2011-09-14

ARD-Landesrundfunkanstalten; Infratest dimap Gesellschaft für Trend- und Wahlforschung, Berlin (2011): ARD-DeutschlandTrend 2009. Version: 1.0.0. GESIS Datenarchiv. Dataset. https://doi.org/10.4232/1.10246