Second series of experiments

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  • Zhukov, Dmitry (Tambov G.R. Derzhavin State University, Internatsionalnaia ul. 33, room 316, 392000, Tambov, Russia)
  • Lyamin, Sergey
  • Barabash, Natalia (Federal Research Centre for Project Evaluation and Consulting Services (SRI FRCEC), 13, Bld. 1, ul. Antonova-Ovseenko, 123317 Moscow, Russia)
Other Title
  • Series 2 from A to D (Subtitle)
Collective Title
  • Non-linear Effects of Turbulent Institutional Modernization
Publication Date
Publication Place
Free Keywords
Modernization; Institutions; Modeling; Systemic and Dynamic Modeling; Non-Linear Dynamics; Agent-Oriented Modeling; System; Fractal Geometry; Self-Organized Criticality
  • Series Information

    Second series of experiments, phases A to D: demonstrates that with a certain combination of factors (including high external pressure) an institution will evolve non-linearly and will be prone to disruption even upon a minor change in one, two or three controlling factors. А: is the initial situation (the result of the first series of experiments). B: deconsolidation of attractors (even though they remain a dense cloud; different shades appear in the basin area, which is an indicator of various development scenarios for the system upon different initial conditions. С: “explosion” of the attractors (a drastic expansion of the attractor cloud) and growing chaos in basins; phase transition. D: drastic contraction of the survival area upon consolidation of attractors (i.e. significant contraction of initial conditions leading to attractor in the physically possible range). E: one of the scenarios of institutional disintegration (attractors and basins are ridden by chaos and disappear).

Temporal Coverage
  • 2000-01-01 / 2015-12-31
  • Zhukov, Dmitry; Lyamin, Sergey: Nonlinear effects of turbulent institutional modernization. In: Jahrbücher für Geschichte Osteuropas2017, Volume 65, p. S. 624-650.. ISSN 0021-4019 (Article)

Update Metadata: 2021-02-17 | Issue Number: 12 | Registration Date: 2017-11-06