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Replication data for: How Do Firms Form Their Expectations? New Survey Evidence

Resource Type
  • Coibion, Olivier
  • Gorodnichenko, Yuriy
  • Kumar, Saten
Publication Date
  • Abstract

    We survey New Zealand firms and document novel facts about their macroeconomic beliefs. There is widespread dispersion in beliefs about past and future macroeconomic conditions, especially inflation. This dispersion in beliefs is consistent with firms' incentives to collect and process information. Using experimental methods, we find that firms update their beliefs in a Bayesian manner when presented with new information about the economy and that changes in their beliefs affect their decisions. Inflation is not generally perceived as being important to business decisions so firms devote few resources to collecting and processing information about inflation.
  • Is supplement to
    DOI: 10.1257/aer.20151299 (Text)
  • Coibion, Olivier, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, and Saten Kumar. “How Do Firms Form Their Expectations? New Survey Evidence.” American Economic Review 108, no. 9 (September 2018): 2671–2713.
    • ID: 10.1257/aer.20151299 (DOI)

Update Metadata: 2020-05-18 | Issue Number: 2 | Registration Date: 2019-10-12

Coibion, Olivier; Gorodnichenko, Yuriy; Kumar, Saten (2018): Replication data for: How Do Firms Form Their Expectations? New Survey Evidence. Version: V0. ICPSR - Interuniversity Consortium for Political and Social Research. Dataset.