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Replication data for: Trade and Investment under Policy Uncertainty: Theory and Firm Evidence

Version
V0
Resource Type
Dataset
Creator
  • Handley, Kyle
  • Limão, Nuno
Publication Date
2015-11-01
Description
  • Abstract

    In a dynamic model with sunk export costs, a firm's export investment is lower under trade policy uncertainty, and credible preferential trade agreements (PTAs) increase trade even if current tariffs are low. Exploring Portugal's accession to the European Community as a policy uncertainty shock we find that the trade reform accounted for a large fraction of Portuguese exporting firms' entry and sales; the accession removed uncertainty about future EC trade policies; and this uncertainty channel accounted for a large fraction of the predicted growth. Our approach can be applied to other PTAs and sources of policy uncertainty. (JEL D22, F12, F14, F15, G31, L11)
Availability
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Relations
  • Is supplement to
    DOI: 10.1257/pol.20140068 (Text)
Publications
  • Handley, Kyle, and Nuno Limão. “Trade and Investment under Policy Uncertainty: Theory and Firm Evidence.” American Economic Journal: Economic Policy 7, no. 4 (November 2015): 189–222. https://doi.org/10.1257/pol.20140068.
    • ID: 10.1257/pol.20140068 (DOI)

Update Metadata: 2020-05-18 | Issue Number: 2 | Registration Date: 2019-10-13

Handley, Kyle; Limão, Nuno (2015): Replication data for: Trade and Investment under Policy Uncertainty: Theory and Firm Evidence. Version: V0. ICPSR - Interuniversity Consortium for Political and Social Research. Dataset. https://doi.org/10.3886/E114605