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metadata language: English

Replication data for: Overconfidence in Political Behavior

Version
1
Resource Type
Dataset
Creator
  • Ortoleva, Pietro
  • Snowberg, Erik
Publication Date
2015-02-01
Description
  • Abstract

    This paper studies, theoretically and empirically, the role of overconfidence in political behavior. Our model of overconfidence in beliefs predicts that overconfidence leads to ideological extremeness, increased voter turnout, and stronger partisan identification. The model also makes nuanced predictions about the patterns of ideology in society. These predictions are tested using unique data that measure the overconfidence and standard political characteristics of a nationwide sample of over 3,000 adults. Our numerous predictions find strong support in these data. In particular, we document that overconfidence is a substantively and statistically important predictor of ideological extremeness, voter turnout, and partisan identification. (JEL C83, D03, D72, D83)
Availability
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Relations
  • Is supplement to
    DOI: 10.1257/aer.20130921 (Text)
Publications
  • Ortoleva, Pietro, and Erik Snowberg. “Overconfidence in Political Behavior.” American Economic Review 105, no. 2 (February 2015): 504–35. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20130921.
    • ID: 10.1257/aer.20130921 (DOI)

Update Metadata: 2020-05-18 | Issue Number: 2 | Registration Date: 2019-12-06

Ortoleva, Pietro; Snowberg, Erik (2015): Replication data for: Overconfidence in Political Behavior. Version: 1. ICPSR - Interuniversity Consortium for Political and Social Research. Dataset. https://doi.org/10.3886/E116147V1