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Replication data for: Individual Perceptions of the Criminal Justice System

Version
V0
Resource Type
Dataset
Creator
  • Lochner, Lance
Publication Date
2007-03-01
Description
  • Abstract

    This paper empirically examines belief updating of the perceived probability of arrest and its criminal deterrence effects using two longitudinal data sources. While beliefs about the probability of arrest are positively correlated with local official arrest rates, they are unresponsive to information acquired from random individuals and local neighborhood conditions. Importantly, perceptions respond to changes in an individual's criminal and arrest history. Young males who engage in crime without getting arrested revise their perceived probability of arrest downward, while those who are arrested revise their probability upward. Estimates suggest that beliefs about the probability of arrest significantly deter crime. (JEL K42)
Availability
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Relations
  • Is supplement to
    DOI: 10.1257/aer.97.1.444 (Text)
Publications
  • Lochner, Lance. “Individual Perceptions of the Criminal Justice System.” American Economic Review 97, no. 1 (February 2007): 444–60. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.97.1.444.
    • ID: 10.1257/aer.97.1.444 (DOI)

Update Metadata: 2020-05-18 | Issue Number: 2 | Registration Date: 2019-12-07

Lochner, Lance (2007): Replication data for: Individual Perceptions of the Criminal Justice System. Version: V0. ICPSR - Interuniversity Consortium for Political and Social Research. Dataset. https://doi.org/10.3886/E116264