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Data and Code for: The Marginal Propensity to Consume over the Business Cycle

Resource Type
  • Gross, Tal (Boston University)
  • Notowidigdo, Matthew (Northwestern University)
  • Wang, Jialan (University of Illinois)
Publication Date
Free Keywords
bankruptcy; recession; mpc
  • Abstract

    We estimate how the marginal propensity to consume (MPC) out of liquidity varies over the business cycle. Ten years after a Chapter 7 bankruptcy, the bankruptcy flag is removed from the filer's credit report, generating an increase in credit score. In the year following flag removal, credit card limits increase by $778 and credit card balances increase by $290, implying an MPC of 0.37. Using cohorts of flag removals, we find that the MPC was 20 to 30 percent higher during the Great Recession, increased during the 2001 recession, and is positively correlated with the local unemployment rate.
  • Is supplement to
    DOI: 10.1257/mac.20160287 (Text)
  • Gross, Tal, Matthew J. Notowidigdo, and Jialan Wang. “The Marginal Propensity to Consume over the Business Cycle.” American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics 12, no. 2 (April 1, 2020): 351–84.
    • ID: 10.1257/mac.20160287 (DOI)

Update Metadata: 2020-06-04 | Issue Number: 1 | Registration Date: 2020-06-04

Gross, Tal; Notowidigdo, Matthew; Wang, Jialan (2020): Data and Code for: The Marginal Propensity to Consume over the Business Cycle. Version: V0. ICPSR - Interuniversity Consortium for Political and Social Research. Dataset.