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The timing and causes of famines in Europe

Version
V0
Resource Type
Dataset
Creator
  • Alfani, Guido (Bocconi University)
  • Ó Gráda, Cormac (University College Dublin)
Publication Date
2020-08-05
Description
  • Abstract

    Studies of modern famines tend to consider them ‘man-made’, resulting from war or from adverse shocks to food entitlements. This view has increasingly been applied to historical famines, against the earlier Malthusian orthodoxy. We use a novel dataset and temporal scan analysis to identify periods when famines were particularly frequent in Europe, from ca. 1250 to the present. Up to 1710, the main clusters of famines occurred in periods of historically high population density. This relationship disappears after 1710. We analyse in detail the famines in England, France and Italy during 1300–1850, and find strong evidence that before 1710 high population pressure on resources was by far the most frequent remote cause of famines (while the proximate cause was almost invariably meteorological). We conclude, in contrast with the currently prevailing view, that most preindustrial famines were the result of production, not distribution issues. Only after 1710 did man-made famines become prevalent.

Availability
Download
This study is freely available to the general public via web download.
Relations
  • Has version
    DOI: 10.3886/E120551V1
Publications
  • Alfani, Guido, and Cormac Ó Gráda. “The Timing and Causes of Famines in Europe.” Nature Sustainability 1, no. 6 (June 2018): 283–88. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-018-0078-0.
    • ID: 10.1038/s41893-018-0078-0 (DOI)

Update Metadata: 2020-08-05 | Issue Number: 1 | Registration Date: 2020-08-05

Alfani, Guido; Ó Gráda, Cormac (2020): The timing and causes of famines in Europe. Version: V0. ICPSR - Interuniversity Consortium for Political and Social Research. Dataset. https://doi.org/10.3886/E120551