Unpacking the Agricultural Black Box: The Rise and Fall of American Farm Productivity Growth

Version
V0
Resource Type
Dataset
Creator
- Pardey, Philip (University of Minnesota)
- Alston, Julian (University of California-Davis)
Publication Date
2021-01-09
Funding Reference
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University of Minnesota. Minnesota Agricultural Experiment Station
- Award Number: MIN-14-161
- University of California
- Giannini Foundation of Agricultural Economics
Description
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Abstract
Has the golden age of U.S. agricultural productivity growth ended? We analyze the detailed patterns of productivity growth spanning a century of profound changes in American agriculture. We document a substantial slowing of U.S. farm productivity growth, following a late mid-century surge—20 years after the surge and slowdown in U.S. industrial productivity growth. We posit and empirically probe three related explanations for this farm productivity surge-slowdown: the time path of agricultural R&D-driven knowledge stocks; a big wave of technological progress associated with great clusters of inventions; and dynamic aspects of the structural transformation of agriculture, largely completed by 1980.
Availability
Download
This study is freely available to the general public via web download.
Relations
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Has version
DOI: 10.3886/E130481V1
Publications
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Pardey, Philip, and Julian Alston. “Unpacking the Agricultural Black Box: The Rise and Fall of American Farm Productivity Growth.” Journal of Economic History 81, no. 1 (March 1, 2021).
Update Metadata: 2021-01-09 | Issue Number: 1 | Registration Date: 2021-01-09