Monitoring of German Fertility: Estimation of Monthly and Yearly Total Fertility Rates on the Basis of Preliminary Monthly Data

Version
1
Resource Type
Text
Creator
  • Doblhammer, Gabriele
  • Milewski, Nadja
  • Peters, Frederik
Collective Title
  • Comparative Population Studies
    Vol 35, No 2 (2010)
Publication Date
2011-02-10
Publication Place
Wiesbaden
Contributor
  • Bundesinstitut für Bevölkerungsforschung (Editor)
Language
English
Free Keywords
Demographic monitoring; Germany; monthly total fertility rate; confidence interval; TFR
Description
  • Abstract

    This paper introduces a set of methods for estimating fertility indicators in the absence of recent and short-term birth statistics. For Germany, we propose a set of straightforward methods that allow for the computation of monthly and yearly total fertility rates (mTFR) on the basis of preliminary monthly data, including a confidence interval. The method for estimating most current fertility rates can be applied when no information on the age structure and the number of women exposed to childbearing is available. The methods introduced in this study are useful for calculating monthly birth indicators, with minimal requirements for data quality and statistical effort. In addition, we suggest an approach for projecting the yearly TFR based on preliminary monthly information up to June.
Availability
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Relations
  • Is identical to
    DOI: 10.12765/10.CPoS-2010-07en (Text)

Update Metadata: 2020-08-17 | Issue Number: 7 | Registration Date: 2011-03-14